Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.151319 0.178856 0.209605 0.246430 0.289281 0.337514 0.395867
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.106856 0.141849 0.185263 0.242852 0.316986 0.408933 0.531317
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.083009 0.120878 0.171944 0.245328 0.347476 0.483927 0.679176
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.065654 0.103429 0.158085 0.242074 0.366817 0.543935 0.812786
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.055665 0.093873 0.152612 0.248197 0.398191 0.622385 0.979923
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.046492 0.083472 0.143566 0.246586 0.416481 0.682394 1.125566
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.038595 0.073485 0.133196 0.240629 0.426103 0.728919 1.254283
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032135 0.064683 0.123172 0.233285 0.431669 0.768489 1.374913
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.028648 0.060639 0.120713 0.238499 0.458939 0.846433 1.567325
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025477 0.056595 0.117534 0.241722 0.482663 0.920273 1.759815
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022535 0.052453 0.113469 0.242515 0.501650 0.987190 1.946248
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020265 0.049314 0.110877 0.245719 0.525390 1.064893 2.159907
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018595 0.047276 0.110396 0.253460 0.559672 1.167293 2.433405
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016021 0.042672 0.103715 0.247161 0.564508 1.213113 2.602184
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014392 0.040033 0.100978 0.249050 0.586746 1.295877 2.853073
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012646 0.036749 0.096215 0.245603 0.596791 1.354374 3.059764
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011676 0.035310 0.095621 0.251773 0.629022 1.462704 3.381506
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010413 0.032817 0.092018 0.250132 0.642957 1.532723 3.627432
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009109 0.029937 0.086957 0.244093 0.645632 1.577897 3.822838
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007920 0.027145 0.081661 0.236648 0.643867 1.612627 3.997853
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007363 0.026180 0.081206 0.241933 0.674543 1.725599 4.363489
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006787 0.025037 0.080069 0.245200 0.700420 1.829668 4.717861
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006190 0.023699 0.078149 0.246003 0.719918 1.920164 5.048131